Earnings growth is exceeding expectations

Earnings growth is exceeding expectations

After gaining 28% in a straight line from the 10% correction low in late October to the most recent all-time high, it’s understandable that the market has been consolidating a bit.

By: Jurrien Timmer

Lower quality bonds are being dumped

Lower quality bonds are being dumped

Perhaps the market is starting to realize things are not as rosy as it seems. When investors feel the economic winds are on their backs, flows go proportionately to the different credit buckets, in fact one can argue that in an expansion, riskier bets are placed and the worst credit ratings get more money.

By: Gustavo A. Cano

The type of inflation matters for equities

The type of inflation matters for equities

"As long as inflation is pro-cyclical (demand-pull), stocks tend to perform well, as higher inflation is associated with stronger growth. When inflation is counter cyclical (cost-push), however, stocks suffer."

By: Daily Chartbook

Global macro backdrop supported the dollar in 2024

Global macro backdrop supported the dollar in 2024

US Treasury yields on the long end have risen to their highest level since November, dampening risk appetite and putting the S&P 500 on track for its third consecutive weekly decline.

By: Boris Kovacevic

S&P 500 dividend yield declines

S&P 500 dividend yield declines

The S&P 500’s dividend yield has moved down to 1.35%, the lowest since Q4/2021. The all-time low was 1.12% in Q1/2000. To put this in perspective: in the late 80s/early 90s the dividend yield stood at 3-4%.

By: Till Christian Budelmann

Investor sentiment still indicates bullish view

Investor sentiment still indicates bullish view

"According to the American Association of Individual Investors’ weekly survey, its members are now the most bullish they have been since the 2021 'meme-stock' craze."

By: Daily Chartbook

10-year note is on the rise

10-year note is on the rise

BREAKING: The 10-year note yield is now trading at its highest level since November 2023, at 4.39%. Stickier than expected inflation data and rising oil prices have added to inflation worries over the last month.

By: Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIA