The European economy continues to fight weak growth prospects as Germany drags down the block's momentum and as the ECB's benchmark interest rate is expected to remain at record highs for longer.
"The latest Investors Intelligence data shows the most bulls since July 2021, the highest bull-bear spread since April 2021 and the fewest bears since February 2018."
The inflation report for the month of February was hotter than expected at 3.2% YoY. A more granular analysis, like the one shown below, shows that inflation composition has changed; during 2021 and 2022, a big percentage of price changes came from goods, Energy and Food.
Excess savings: "The rundown is more likely to be a gentle slope than a cliff edge...As long as the labor market remains tight, we believe the rundown of household savings is consistent with balance sheet normalization and a slowdown, not a collapse."